you saw it highlighted during the democratic convention and the idea was it would peel off college educated female voters and increase the gender back. the gender gap has shrunk by half in the past month, that is pretty good news for the romney campaign. martha: let's take a look at florida which is the last on the list we have in front of us -- have, excuse me. it says 49-47 quinnipiac. when you talk to some strategists they have already been fairly confident about virginia, about north carolina and about florida for mitt romney supporters. i guess the question is at this point how much stock do we put in these polls and how much do we put in sort of the feeling on the ground and the feeling people are getting in different states? >> the striking thing about this election is how little anyone knows. typically a week out you think you know who is going to win. i don't know a single informed person who knows that. i don't think we know. independent voters in the state of virginia are for romney by a 21-point margin, that is good news. how many people haven't decided at this stage? probably a